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Explaining Opposition to Turkish Membership of the EU

Lauren M. McLaren

University of Nottingham, UK, lauren.mclaren{at}nottingham.ac.uk

This article examines EU citizen attitudes to Turkey's bid to join the EU. The key theoretical constructs investigated to explain opposition to Turkey's EU membership are related to rational economic self-interest and group-level interests and concerns. The findings indicate that the former are irrelevant for distinguishing between opponents and supporters of Turkey's candidacy, while the latter do provide fairly powerful explanations for opposition to Turkish EU membership. However, because these factors do not completely explain overall levels of hostility to Turkey's candidacy, context is also introduced, particularly the threatening context provided by Turkish migration. The findings indicate that migration from Turkey to some of the EU member states has combined with feelings of group protectiveness to produce widespread animosity to Turkey's entry into the EU.

Key Words: enlargement • Europe • multi-level modelling • public opinion • threat • Turkey

European Union Politics, Vol. 8, No. 2, 251-278 (2007)
DOI: 10.1177/1465116507076432
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