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European Union Politics
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Regarding the Dutch `Nee' to the European Constitution

A Test of the Identity, Utilitarian and Political Approaches to Voting `No'

Marcel Lubbers

Radboud University Nijmegen, The Netherlands, M.Lubbers{at}uu.nl

In June 2005, 61.5% of the Dutch voted `nee' in the referendum on the European constitution. In the present contribution I test hypotheses from the national identity, utilitarian and political approaches to explain this voting behaviour. I collected data in the Netherlands to test whether one of those approaches has been decisive in explaining the referendum outcome. I also provide information about whether specific EU evaluations from these approaches explain the voting behaviour, thus bringing in the discussion on the importance of domestic political evaluations (second-order election effects). I also test hypotheses on which theoretical approach explains differences between social categories in rejecting the constitution. My results show that specifically EU evaluations in particular accounted for the `no' vote, although in conjunction with a strong effect from domestic political evaluations. I also find evidence for `party-following behaviour' irrespective of people's attitudes. Utilitarian explanations determine the `no' vote less well than political or national identity explanations. The strongest impact on voting 'no' came from a perceived threat from the EU to Dutch culture.

Key Words: European constitution • Euroscepticism • national identity • referendum • The Netherlands

European Union Politics, Vol. 9, No. 1, 59-86 (2008)
DOI: 10.1177/1465116507085957


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